Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: March 30, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
ABBOTT ELEMENTARY – “Development Day” episode
ABC
Weekly Commentary: Selena Gomez, the influential superstar of Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” was unfortunately omitted from the lead actress in a comedy category for the show’s first season. For her second outing as the dry-witted Mabel, she’s even better, making the chances of another omission look even worse for the TV Academy.
But there’s hope. With a seemingly less competitive race for lead actress comedy this time around, Gomez’s chances are better, especially with consecutive winner Jean Smart from “Hacks” out of the running this year. One of the likely six coveted slots (depending on overall submission numbers) could belong to her.
Nominated for outstanding comedy series as one of the executive producers for the first season, Gomez made history as the third Latina ever recognized after Salma Hayek (“Ugly Betty”) and Marlis Pujol (“The Kominsky Method”). She’ll be seeking a double nom this time around.
The race still has plenty of favorites in the ranks, including former winners and nominees.
“Abbott Elementary” creator, writer and star Quinta Brunson could be the frontrunner with the mockumentary’s outstanding sophomore season. However, she could face stiff competition from Rachel Brosnahan or Christina Applegate, who of which are campaigning for their final seasons of “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” and “Dead to Me.”
Freshman shows will have contenders to add, notably Natasha Lyonne from Peacock’s “Poker Face” and Jenna Ortega for Netflix’s “Wednesday.”
And then there are the underappreciated performers, who are still hoping for recognition after multiple seasons and years in the biz. Among those are Bridget Everett of “Somebody Somewhere” and Robin Thede of “A Black Lady Sketch Show,” both from HBO.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Bridget Everett — “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
- Elle Fanning — “The Great” (Hulu)
- Ali Wong — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Sarah Jessica Parker — “And Just Like That…” (HBO)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Tatiana Maslany — “She-Hulk: Attorney at Law” (Disney+)
- Natasia Demtriou — “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
- Maya Rudolph — “Loot” (Apple TV+)
- Amy Schumer — “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+)
- Ana Gasteyer — “American Auto” (Peacock)
- Cecily Strong — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Linda Cardellini — “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
- Robin Thede — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- Devery Jacobs — “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
- Rose McIver — “Ghosts” (CBS)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
**This list is not yet complete and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Jean Smart — “Hacks” (HBO) — Season 2
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | VARIETY SKETCH, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.